Test Roadmap

24 Proposed Experiments
Validation Badge Guide — MRH-relationship: ■ Active-MRH — under active investigation  | ■ Parallel-Paths — competing approaches  | ■ Sidelined — deprioritised  | ■ Superseded — replaced by better framing  | ■ Audited-Negative — closed as wrong. Descriptive: ■ Reparametrization — known result in new notation  | ■ Untested — no data yet  | ■ Speculative — reasoning gap  | ■ Failed — falsified by data. Canonical definitions →
Pre-registration status: None of these 24 experiments have been formally pre-registered before the data was available. This means results cannot be treated as prospective predictions — they are retrospective consistency checks until a kill criterion is publicly registered before the relevant dataset is analyzed. See the prediction audit trail →
Discrimination status: Of these 24 proposed tests, 0 currently discriminate from MOND+EFE+ΛCDM. The Tier-1 analyzed tests are either self-eliminating (no outcome selects Synchronism), failed by sign, or produce results shared equally with MOND. The roadmap represents proposed tests, not tests that are ready to run or are expected to discriminate. See Tier 1 for per-test verdicts →

Synchronism has defined 24 specific, falsifiable experiments organized into four tiers by cost and feasibility. Every experiment has an explicit kill criterion — a result that would falsify the prediction. This page covers proposed tests; for results on what has actually been analyzed, see below.

Tests are numbered TEST-01 through TEST-10 on the Tier 1 page (each test card has an anchor: e.g., /tier-1-existing#TEST-04a). Cross-references elsewhere on the site to TEST-NN resolve directly to those cards.

What's Already Been Analyzed

The “0 Completed” count below refers to the 24 proposed experiments above — none have been run as formal pre-registered tests. Separately, the framework has been checked against existing datasets with these results:

  • RAR transition shape (2807 SPARC points, 2026-05-21): γ=2 compander refuted at ΔBIC=+184; free-γ=0.49=MOND — FAILED (γ=2); collapses to MOND at fitted γ. Net discriminating galaxy tests vs MOND: 0.
  • Galaxy rotation (14,760 galaxies, SPARC + ALFALFA-SDSS): qualitative curve match — MOND reparametrization, not novel
  • TEST-03 TFR scatter (same SPARC data): R² = 0.14 < 20% kill threshold — FAILED
  • DESI fσ₈ (TEST-04a): post-hoc retrodiction, kill criterion triggered — DISFAVORED ~2σ (corrected 2026-05-26; LRG1 fσ₈/(fσ₈)_fid=1.16±0.13; σ₈=0.841 vs predicted 0.76; prior “non-discriminating” correction was itself an error)
  • Chemistry boundary consistency (1,703 phenomena): 89% consistent — calibration set, not blind test
  • Superconductivity (η factor): reproduces Abrikosov-Gor'kov formula — reparametrization
  • Born rule: reproduces |α|² via coherence conservation — reparametrization (no deviation predicted)
Full ledger: wins, failures, and reparametrizations →

Overview by Tier

Tier 1: Existing Data

10 tests

Reanalysis of public datasets (Gaia DR3, SPARC, SDSS, DESI). No new hardware needed.

Cost: $0  •  Timeline: 1–6 months

Tier 2: Pilot Experiments

4 tests

Small-scale experiments: EEG studies, circadian rhythm monitoring, QC coherence tests.

Cost: $50K–$500K  •  Timeline: 6–24 months

Tier 3: Major Experiments

7 tests

Dedicated facilities: gravitational wave correlation, multi-messenger astronomy, controlled decoherence.

Cost: $1M–$10M  •  Timeline: 2–5 years

Tier 4: Frontier

3 tests

Pushing technology limits: minimal cell γ mapping, cosmic interference detection, consciousness in AI.

Cost: $10M+  •  Timeline: 5+ years

Recommendation

Start with zero-cost Tier 1 tests. The BAO coherence modulation, wide binary density dependence, and SPARC environment analysis can all be done with existing public data. If these fail, no further investment is needed. If they succeed, they build the case for Tier 2 pilot experiments.

Status

24

Proposed

0

Pre-registered & Completed

10

Zero Cost

The “Pre-registered & Completed: 0” counts only tests whose kill criterion was registered before the relevant dataset was analyzed. This is distinct from the retrospective analyses in the “What's Already Been Analyzed” box above (galaxy rotation, chemistry, TEST-03/04a). Those analyses produced results, but they were not pre-registered prospective predictions.

Tier 1: Existing Data →Top 5 Decisive Tests

Related Concepts

Tier 1: Existing Data10 tests using available datasetsTier 2: Pilot Experiments4 tests, $50K–$200K eachTop 5 Decisive TestsBAO, wide binary, anesthesia, GW-DM, cosmic interference