Top Decisive Tests
Most Discriminating — Updated 2026-05-13Of the defined experiments, these have the highest distinguishing power — tests that can discriminate between Synchronism and existing frameworks. Two predictions have now closed: one is disfavored ~2σ with kill criterion triggered (post-hoc; corrected 2026-05-26), one withdrawn by internal contradiction.
Active discriminating tests
Wide Binary Density Dependence
Synchronism predicts the wide-binary gravitational anomaly is stronger in denser environments — density-dependent rather than constant. Uses existing Gaia DR3 data. EFE caveat: MOND's External Field Effect (Bekenstein-Milgrom 1984; AQUAL/QUMOND) also predicts environment-dependent dynamics. For TEST-02 to be a true discriminator, the predicted functional form ξ(ρ_ext) from Synchronism must quantitatively differ from the EFE prediction. This comparison has not yet been computed. Until it is, label this test as "possibly MOND+EFE degenerate."
Kill: Anomaly independent of local stellar density — or identical in functional form to standard MOND+EFE
EEG Anesthesia Phase Transition
Tests the most striking consciousness prediction: consciousness loss is a phase transition, not a gradual decline. If the threshold is universal, the entire consciousness framework gains empirical grounding. The D and S parameters in the consciousness equation are not yet operationally defined — this test would force that gap to close.
Kill: Consciousness loss is gradual with no threshold clustering
Tracked — derivation or signal pending
On the radar but not yet decisive: either no amplitude has been derived from the framework's parameters, or the test has already been superseded.
Gravitational Wave Speed–Dark Matter Column Correlation
GW170817 already constrains Synchronism to GR-equivalent at |α| < 3.0 × 10⁻¹⁵ (Baker et al. 2017). Synchronism is consistent with GR's exact-zero prediction — meaning this constraint was passed vacuously. This test discriminates only if Synchronism predicts a positive signal above zero, which it does not currently. Listed to track if a positive-signal prediction is added.
Kill: No correlation at 10⁻¹⁶ level after 20+ events
Cosmic Interference Patterns
Candidate only — derivation pending. The ~500 Mpc scale has not been derived from the framework's parameters. The /cosmic-interference page explicitly states "this is not a prediction in the scientific sense." Listed here to track progress; if the scale is derived from first principles, it would be unique to Synchronism. Until then, not yet a decisive test.
Kill: No oscillations above 3σ out to 2000 Mpc
Closed predictions
TEST-04a: DESI RSD fσ₈ Suppression
DISFAVORED ~2σ — Kill Criterion Triggered (corrected 2026-05-26)Session 107 predicted fσ₈(z=0.51) ≈ 0.418 (suppression). DESI DR1 full-shape (arXiv:2411.12021): LRG1 fσ₈/(fσ₈)_fid = 1.16 ± 0.13 — above ΛCDM fiducial; combined σ₈ = 0.841 ± 0.034. Tension: 2.4σ. Kill criterion (fσ₈ > 0.46) triggered. Honest verdict: post-hoc retrodiction — disfavored ~2σ; suppression not observed; data ΛCDM-consistent. Note: 2026-05-25 "correction" claiming kill not triggered was itself an error (misattributed a z≈0.07 PV survey value). See /tier-1-existing for full documentation.
TEST-04: BAO Coherence Modulation
WITHDRAWN — Internal ContradictionFramework's own Session 107 forecasts BAO matches ΛCDM at 0.0% — the sound horizon is set at z~1100 when C ≈ 1 everywhere. The 10⁻⁴ modulation number had no session-level derivation.
The Strategy
With TEST-04 withdrawn and TEST-04a disfavored ~2σ / kill triggered (corrected 2026-05-26), the immediate discriminating work shifts to TEST-02 (wide binaries, Gaia DR3 — zero cost). But TEST-02 needs a critical prerequisite: compute the MOND+EFE prediction for the same observable and show where Synchronism diverges numerically. Without that, a positive TEST-02 result cannot distinguish the frameworks.
Cheapest tests first. TEST-02 is zero-cost analysis. TEST-11 (EEG, $150K) is next only on a positive TEST-02 result.
* TEST-15 (GW correlation) was already constrained by GW170817 — monitoring only until a positive-signal prediction is added. TEST-07 (500 Mpc Cosmic Interference) has no derivation — candidate only.See derivation status →